Eco3min · Live indicator

U.S. Yield Curve — 10-Year minus 2-Year Treasury Spread

Below the zero line the curve is inverted — historically a lead indicator of recession.
+0.45%T10Y2Y · Août 3, 2026Flat
-2%-1%0%+1%+2%+3%198019902000201020202026Shaded bands = NBER recessions
Sources: U.S. Treasury & Federal Reserve (FRED: T10Y2Y); NBER recession dating.
Chart: Eco3min Research — eco3min.fr · data as of Août 3, 2026
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Mis à jour le 24 juin 2026