Real Corporate Bond Yield — Daily CSV Download (BAA Inflation-Adjusted Yield)

The real corporate bond yield — Moody’s BAA yield minus CPI inflation — measures the true cost of long-term borrowing for US corporations at the lower end of investment grade. How the inflation deflator behaves across regimes is detailed in the complete guide to inflation. When positive and rising, capital allocation becomes more disciplined; when negative, corporations are effectively being paid to borrow, incentivizing leverage and buybacks.

Dataset: Real Corporate Bond Yield — Moody’s BAA (1953–2026) · Updated —

Latest Value
-326.38%
Apr 1, 2026
Historical Percentile
0th
Historically low
Historical Average
-117.59%
951 observations
Historical Range
HIGH
-18.35%
Jan 1, 1947
LOW
-326.38%
Apr 1, 2026

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Loading FRED data…

Source: FRED series BAA · Moody’s (BAA) & BLS (CPIAUCSL) via FRED


Macro Takeaway

This indicator is a key component of the macro-financial monitoring framework. Its current level relative to its historical distribution — captured in the percentile and z-score above — provides immediate context for whether conditions are historically normal, stretched, or compressed.

Cross-referencing with the real 10-year Treasury yield and the high yield credit spreads helps situate this indicator within the broader macro regime.


Dataset Overview

IndicatorReal Corporate Bond Yield — Moody’s BAA (1953–2026)
GeographyUnited States
FrequencyMonthly
Period1953–2026
Variablesdate, baa_yield, cpi_yoy, real_baa_yield
FormatCSV, Excel (XLSX)
SourcesMoody’s (BAA) & BLS (CPIAUCSL) via FRED
Last updated

Dataset Variables

The CSV and Excel files contain the following columns.

ColumnTypeDescription
dateDate (YYYY-MM-DD)Observation date
baa_yieldFloatMoody’s BAA corporate bond yield (%)
cpi_yoyFloatCPI year-over-year inflation (%)
real_baa_yieldFloatReal BAA yield: BAA minus CPI YoY (%)

Column names match the CSV headers exactly.


Download the Complete Dataset

The full dataset is available in CSV and Excel formats.

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FRED Direct CSV Access

The underlying data is available from FRED under series code BAA:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.csv?id=BAA

Direct CSV Access — Eco3min Structured Dataset

https://eco3min.fr/dataset/real-corporate-bond-yield.csv

This URL returns the complete dataset in CSV format. It can be used directly in pandas, R, curl, or any data tool.


Using the Dataset in Python

import pandas as pd

url = "https://eco3min.fr/dataset/real-corporate-bond-yield.csv"
df = pd.read_csv(url, parse_dates=["date"])

print(df.head())
print(df["baa_yield"].describe())

Using the Dataset in R

library(readr)

url <- "https://eco3min.fr/dataset/real-corporate-bond-yield.csv"
df <- read_csv(url)

head(df)
summary(df$baa_yield)

Both examples load the dataset directly from the URL — no download or API key required.


Methodology

Moody’s BAA seasoned corporate bond yield (FRED: BAA) minus CPI YoY inflation (FRED: CPIAUCSL). BAA is the lowest investment-grade rating — the boundary before high yield.

This dataset is updated monthly via automated pull from the FRED API.


Historical Regimes

Historical regime analysis for this dataset will be added in a future update. The key stats block above provides immediate context for the current reading relative to the full historical distribution.


Related Macroeconomic Datasets

The real corporate bond yield combines two forces: the real risk-free rate and the credit spread. It captures the full cost of capital for American businesses — and when it turns deeply negative, capital misallocation follows.

Related Research

Real corporate yields at the BAA boundary are especially informative — they sit just above high yield, where “fallen angel” dynamics can trigger forced selling cascades.


Macroeconomic Dataset Hub

This dataset is part of the Eco3min macro-financial data repository.

Explore the Eco3min Dataset Hub


Sources

  • Moody’s (BAA) & BLS (CPIAUCSL) via FRED

Dataset Reference

Last updated — 16 May 2026

Disclaimer – Financial Information: The analyses, commentary, and content published on eco3min.fr are provided for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investment decisions involve risk and are the sole responsibility of the reader.